Nikkei hits record highs

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Koushik Korampalli
February 23, 2023
Est read: 1 minute

Happy days for Japanese Indexes

  •             Nikkei 225 hit 39,029

o   This is a new record high,  38,915.87 in 1989 was the previous record.

o   Since the end of December, Nikkei has grown 17%

  •     Bank of America updated 2024 forecasts for Nikkei 225 to 41,000

o   It was previously 38,500.

  •        Many contributing factors

o   Weak Yen means investment in Japanese stocks is cheaper for overseas investors.

o   Reduced interest in Chinese markets.

o   Increased Japanese corporate earnings.

  •   Toyota forecasts $34bn in profits for this financial year

  •  Success of Japanese chipmaker, Renesas

o   Rising inflation following years of deflation

  •    TOPIX (another Japanese index) is also reaching its 1989 peak.

 

Not all good news

·       The Japanese economy isn’t at the best position.

o   Currently in recession

o   Rising cost of living

o   Fall in real wages.

o   Negative interest rate (-0.1%)

·       Compared to 1989 the Japanese economy looks very different.

o   Companies

  • 1989: the biggest firms were banks

  •  2024: now its tech firms and other international businesses (Toyota).

o   Economy

  •  1989: rising stock and property

  • 2024: 255% debt to GDP, deflation

·       Takeshi Niinami CEO of Suntory shared concerns about the cheap yen.

·       Koji Toda of Resona Asset Management said: “There is still no certainty of overcoming deflation.”

The current share price rise does not necessarily reflect the actual strength of Japanese companies”- Tokura, chair of Keidanren.