Europe x Canada Rate Cuts

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Koushik Korampalli
June 9, 2024
Est read: 0 minutes
  • Canada was the first G7 Central Bank to cut rates this cycle
    • They cut rates by 0.25% to 4.75% on Wednesday
    • Rates have been at 5% since July 2023
  • Most forecasters predict 3 more BoC rate cuts this year

     

  • Following this the European Central Bank cut rates by 0.25% on Thursday
    • The current rate now sits at 3.75%
    • This is the first cut in 5 years
  • Christine Lagarde, President of the ECB, said she was not fully committed to continue cutting rates, forecasting that inflation would still stay above 2% until Q42026
    • Forecasts show that in 2024 inflation would average 2.5%
    • In 2025 it would be 2.2% and 1.9% in 2026
  • Inflation has fallen more than 2.5% since the last rate hike in September of last year
    • However, in May inflation rose to 2.6% from 2.4% in April
  • European stocks rose in anticipation of the rate cut and rose higher following the announcement
    • Stoxx 600 +0.7%
    • Cac 40 +0.4%
    • Dax +0.4%
    • FTSE 100 +0.5%
  • Looking at other countries, traders are betting on rate cuts in September for both the UK and US